CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE, Nov. 9, 2026 — A strengthening storm is expected to bring rain to Cape May County from Thursday through Friday night, followed by much colder air and gusty winds over the weekend, the National Weather Service in Mount Holly says.
It is the same system forecasters flagged over the weekend as a possible nor'easter. In a forecast discussion issued Monday evening, the office says it now looks like "mostly a rain event for the majority of our region." The discussion does not describe the storm as a nor'easter.
A rainfall outlook the office issued Monday morning puts the chance of more than a half inch of rain by 7 a.m. Saturday at 71% in the Villas, the one Cape May County point labeled on its map. The chance of more than an inch there is 42%. Some areas of the region could see 1 to 1.5 inches. "We do not expect rainfall to result in any flooding," the office says.
The Weather Service's forecast for Cape May Court House calls for rain to begin after 7 a.m. Thursday, with an 80% chance of rain Thursday, Thursday night and Friday, and rain likely Friday night. Thursday's high will be near 65. Friday's high will be near 52, with a north wind of 15 to 20 mph.
The storm's exact path is still unsettled. Forecast models agree that a deep upper-level trough will develop over the East, but they differ on whether the strengthening low tracks over the region or slides just to the south and then offshore, forecasters wrote.
That matters most at the shore. Stronger winds and tidal flooding are possible but "less certain," the discussion says, because a low that passes directly overhead would shorten the period of stronger onshore wind.
The strongest winds "may end up occurring as the storm exits" and colder air moves in from the northwest, forecasters wrote. On the water, Small Craft Advisory conditions are probable Thursday night through Saturday, with gale-force gusts possible Friday.
Any snow or rain-snow mix is expected to stay in the higher elevations of the southern Poconos.
The weekend turns cold. The Court House forecast calls for a partly sunny Saturday with a high near 51 and a northwest wind around 15 mph. Lows will be around 33 on Friday and Saturday nights. Sunday will be mostly sunny with a high near 53.
Until the rain arrives, it stays dry. Tuesday will be sunny with a high near 64, and Veterans Day will be sunny with a high near 62, according to the same forecast. No watches, warnings or advisories were in effect for Cape May County on Monday evening.
